Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 8.339510 9.761118 11.318063 13.145291 15.226232 17.517465 20.226198
2026-01-04 6.149263 8.117651 10.501132 13.577071 17.416294 22.023044 27.938996
2026-01-11 4.726905 6.880342 9.706029 13.633597 18.890961 25.617618 34.795265
2026-01-18 3.784694 5.990867 9.089813 13.671507 20.164906 28.912273 41.432172
2026-01-25 3.008463 5.145225 8.339039 13.329873 20.768887 31.249611 46.880519
2026-02-01 2.430236 4.467770 7.693198 12.994015 21.260746 33.379590 52.117275
2026-02-08 1.941764 3.830783 6.991696 12.442134 21.311720 34.803538 56.368330
2026-02-15 1.582165 3.339226 6.437824 12.025974 21.483725 36.363407 60.871618
2026-02-22 1.408046 3.149549 6.361419 12.377149 22.897411 39.916165 68.646427
2026-03-01 1.263376 2.987450 6.305149 12.743582 24.350885 43.616446 76.881219
2026-03-08 1.050826 2.644468 5.859262 12.345982 24.433851 45.060550 81.546619
2026-03-15 0.886629 2.370323 5.502232 12.060479 24.668710 46.747516 86.688107
2026-03-22 0.814852 2.303244 5.577959 12.668998 26.687646 51.807755 98.159794
2026-03-29 0.726259 2.180625 5.526092 13.033241 28.317979 56.374429 109.223482
2026-04-05 0.626665 2.006312 5.332061 13.077173 29.332766 59.916318 118.747812
2026-04-12 0.541921 1.848927 5.147663 13.111632 30.321999 63.473108 128.526707
2026-04-19 0.450571 1.647335 4.820849 12.781914 30.524125 65.552103 135.728355
2026-04-26 0.374910 1.469361 4.517647 12.458135 30.693133 67.561296 142.909670
2026-05-03 0.303491 1.281474 4.150870 11.926301 30.346677 68.514249 148.125292
2026-05-10 0.249238 1.132241 3.857028 11.525339 30.236833 69.914305 154.271793
2026-05-17 0.226797 1.089569 3.855545 11.863683 31.838491 74.924450 167.825181
2026-05-24 0.207120 1.051226 3.859777 12.216774 33.505428 80.179411 182.168961
2026-05-31 0.171146 0.934771 3.603383 11.833653 33.381203 81.627379 188.878150